The Beat: Snow falls on Ray’s Weather forecasts (and every U.S. state except Florida)

Another day, another snow: A slow-moving storm dumped about 10 inches of snow in Asheville last week and brought frigid temperatures across the region. photo by Jonathon Welch

In the wake of Asheville's second-coldest December in history and the recent snowy onslaught, famed Western North Carolina forecaster Ray Russell conceded defeat, or at least revised his earlier prediction. In a "death notice" posted on the Ray's Weather Center Facebook page, Russell acknowledged that his long-range "Fearless Forecast" had proved to be way off.

Ray’s Weather has built a reputation as a source for the most accurate local weather predictions, but this year it had wrongly called for a drier, milder winter than normal. Russell blamed "a stubbornly negative North Atlantic oscillation" for the discrepancy, explaining that it had created a "trough in the eastern U.S. allowing cold air to drive deep into the Southeast."

Just a few weeks ago, Russell told Xpress he thought the Atlantic trough would break up, paving the way for "a radical change in temperatures" due to a pocket of cooler-than-average water in the Pacific Ocean (see "Slip-sliding Away" in our Dec. 22 issue). He pointed out that this phenomenon, known as La Niña, historically results in warmer winters throughout the Southeast. And Russell cited La Niña again in his updated Jan. 13 long-range forecast, predicting, "The second half of winter will be milder than the first part has been." Guess we'll have to wait and see.

Meanwhile, our latest snowy surge garnered a heap of media coverage, with the Asheville Citizen-Times running a series of cover stories looking at the various ways the storm caused problems locally. According to "Asheville Slowly Shakes Off Storm," the slick roads resulted in about 70 accidents throughout the 17 westernmost counties. In "Winter Maintains its Frigid Fingers on a Gasping Asheville," the paper reported that Asheville City Schools were pushing back exams and planning to survey parents on the best way for students to make up the seven school days they've already missed this year. And in "Garbage Delays Questioned in Asheville," the paper reported that "Asheville city officials canceled garbage and recycling collection to 29,000 customers," citing dangerous road conditions. Some residents questioned the decision, however, noting that the U.S. Postal Service had continued to deliver mail, and most Buncombe County residents were still getting curbside trash service despite the slick roads.

In addition to our own reports on how the wintry conditions affected city services, Xpress explored the fun side of the storm. Our series of online posts included videos and photos of snowboarding, skiing, sledding and other outdoor adventures. In "Powder Day: Scenes from Wolf Ridge," we gave viewers a look at the epic conditions at local ski areas, some of which received more than 25 inches of snow throughout the week (Beech Mountain Resort in Avery County has already reported more than 100 inches this season, surpassing its yearly average of 80 inches). In "Cross Country Skiing in Beaverdam," we documented an afternoon spent cross-country skiing in north Asheville’s Beaverdam neighborhood. And in "Snow Brings Great Sledding Conditions to Asheville Parks," Xpress captured a few images of this terrified reporter as he launched about 10 feet in the air on a sled in a West Asheville park.

Xpress also used Twitter to aggregate citizen reports using the hashtag "#avlsnomg." The live feed served as an outlet for anyone on Twitter to share their perspectives on the storm while offering readers a fascinating source of real-time information on everything from road conditions and business closures to where the best sledding hills were.

But WNC certainly wasn't snowed in alone. According to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, as of Jan. 11, there was snow in 49 states, covering 69.4 percent of the U.S. Even Hawaii didn't escape winter's grasp: Florida was the only snow-free state.


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About Jake Frankel
Jake Frankel is an award-winning journalist who enjoys covering a wide range of topics, from politics and government to business, education and entertainment.

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