Some in the media call it a split decision, but on the whole, May 6 was a win for the Obama campaign. Obama won the considerably bigger state by the considerably bigger (14 percentage points) margin, outperforming the polling that had suggested a Clinton surge and compiling a net gain of about 13 pledged delegates.
Since the Iowa primary, there has been this huge story that everyone could see coming like a ripening fruit hanging low in American springtime, [but] few have been willing to write what has now become clear: In the race for the Democratic Party’s nomination, the junior senator from Illinois, Barack Obama, has defeated the inevitable Hillary Clinton. It is one of the greatest upsets in the history of the Democratic Party. … More uncommitted superdelegates are [now] up for grabs than total of the remaining pledged delegates in the states yet to vote. The ground war of this nomination race is over.
With the guilt-by-association argument played out, only the big-state argument is left. This is where the Clinton campaign says that her wins in California and New York primaries show that she is the stronger candidate against McCain. That argument may fly on the street, but it will never work with the well-informed party insiders … . The superdelegates understand that those big states aren’t up for grabs in 2008. Hillary is saying that only she can win California? Dennis Kucinich could beat John McCain in California and New York this year.
With so few states left to vote, the only remaining path to the nomination for Clinton involves the so-called nuclear option, which is a cocktail of Obama character assassination and an insistence on changing the rules to include the votes in the disputed Florida and Michigan primaries. That path involves mutually assured destruction and a generational setback for the Democratic Party. …
Whether Hillary Clinton’s coming exit from the race is graceful or not, focus must turn to the general-election contest that now finally begins to take form. In Raleigh, Obama said of that coming contest: “The question is not what kind of campaign they will run; it’s what kind of campaign we will run.” Obama is calling his supporters, many of them new voters, to a new kind of campaign—and to this point, they have responded.
— Chris Busby